Paper
Forecast on China’s Urbanization
- Authors:
- Dingxiang Liu
- Abstract
- In order to define the future development trend of urbanization in China, this paper employed regression analysis method to study the urbanization system force and market power. Then we can derive the locus equation of the ratio of urbanization and simulate the development trend of urbanization in China. The conclusions of this paper are: The average growth rate of China’s urbanization from 1978 to 2009 is 103%; this rapid development will continue until 2013; the results show the sequential growth rate will gradually slow down after 2013; the ultimate urbanization rate in China is 83%, and it will be reached in 2158. After that, the ratio of urbanization will decline. The results of this research will provide meaningful policy suggestions for Chinese government in decision making about development of urbanization in China.
- Keywords
- urbanization rate; system power; marketability; forecast model
- StartPage
- 70
- EndPage
- 75
- Doi